Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
This market centers on which team will be officially recorded as the winner of the 2026 World Cup match between the referenced outcomes, using the match result itself as the defining reference event. The fixture represents a competitive milestone within the 2026 World Cup, a tournament co-hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico where group stage results directly determine each team's path toward the knockout rounds. Traders are evaluating team form, recent international results, head-to-head history, and tactical setup to determine which side is more likely to secure the official victory — or whether the match will end level — when 90 minutes of regular play has concluded.
Market Outcomes and Resolution Criteria: This market covers 2026 World Cup group stage matches only. It is not applicable to knockout stage fixtures, where a winner must be determined beyond 90 minutes. It resolves to "Yes" if Yes are officially recorded as the winner, "No" if No are officially recorded as the winner, or "Tie" ($0.50 per share) if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It also resolves to "Tie" ($0.50 per share) if the match is postponed beyond 24 hours, cancelled entirely, or if no official winner is recorded by the market end date. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered.
Definition of "Official Winner": A team is considered to have won if they hold a strictly higher goal tally than their opponent at the conclusion of 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time, as determined by the official match record. Goals scored in extra time or via penalty shootout do not count toward resolution. Own goals count toward the opposing team's total.
Official Sources and Evidence: The primary resolution source is the official 2026 World Cup match results as published by the tournament's governing body. Liquipedia and official team social media may be used for corroboration only and cannot override the primary source.
Resolution Timing: The market resolves no sooner than 3 hours after the official match result is confirmed on the primary source.
Handling Postponements and Cancellations: If the match is postponed but completed with an official result declared within 24 hours of the original scheduled start, that result determines the outcome. If the match is not completed, is cancelled, or no official result is declared within 24 hours of the original scheduled start, the market resolves to "Tie" at $0.50 per share.
Ambiguities and Disputes: In the event of conflicting evidence, the official match results published by the tournament's governing body take precedence over all other sources. VAR-confirmed decisions follow the official match record.
- Market open
- Jan 17, 2026, 3:17 AM
- Market closes
- After the outcome occurs
- Projected payout
- 1 minute after closing
This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM.
In this event, at most one market can resolve to "Yes". When buying or selling "No" across multiple markets, you may receive some funds back or be required to pay funds. This is called "collateral return".
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Current and former players, coaches, and staff of the league, association, or organization(s) governing the event. For college leagues/associations specifically, or where otherwise appropriate (as identified by the Exchange), this applies to current and former players/coaches/staff of the specific teams in the event rather than the league/association as a whole (e.g., if the Division I Gonzaga Men's Basketball Team is playing in the event, this prohibition will restrict trades by current/former players of that team, rather than all current/former players/coaches/staff in any NCAA sport).
- Paid employees of the league and league participants.
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- Household members and immediate family of all of the above.
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Live community discussion.
If I had a giant rocket, what use would I have for something that flies on Earth?
- IU
Why this pump again?
- BU
also depends on baykar's decisions in eu area
X AIRLINE YA SE REGISTRÓ cuando eres el hombre más rico del mundo tienes un título global que te referencia como señal de más inversionistas
♥ 1
Yes yes
- RE
i thank he will bug
he will bug alright
- KV
No way he will buy this
- LI
dao di shi bu shi ne?
♥ 1 
hoping for a pump
We don't know how much money Elon Musk has in his accounts or whether it's worth it for him, but in any case, before buying any company or corporation, there must be a thorough analysis of financial statements and a complete audit. Based on that, Elon and his team should decide whether it is profitable for them.
♥ 1- RA
Elon can easily aquire EU citizenship or can simply ask TRUMP to force EU to remove such bullshit law or face 1000% tariff lol. So technically Elon can buy it if he really wants to
♥ 5 - TI
This is not gta 5 buddy
♥ 3 - RA
If you are as rich as elon, than anything is possible
It not some bullshit eu law, the US has the very same law, you must be a US citizen to own a majority of a US airline.
♥ 1- RA
Elon currently has 3 citizenships, how hard would it be acquire one from any of the eu states? especially from easten eu countries which are poor
♥ 1 - SO
This feels like a free money glitch, because technically Elon Musk can't buy Ryanir because he isn't from the EU. Pretty sure to buy an airline you have to be from the EU. We have similiar laws here in the USA. Regulation (EC) No 1008/2008
♥ 4 
Good point!
- RA
than why dont you bet your life savings
♥ 1 - LO
As per law US corporation can take over EU corporation. So Elon’s one of the corp can buy any company in Europe.
♥ 1 - ME
Elon Musk acaba de decidir que hay posibilidades. asi que me meto en compra, esta bien bajo el precio la verdad
♥ 3 - OA
he meant not buying ryan as a whole but buying it's shares
♥ 3 - SO
Yea, but he can't become majority owner if he isn't from the EU. I'm not entirely sure how he would get around the law.
- SO
(Regulation (EC) No 1008/2008) requiring majority EU ownership and effective control to maintain operating licenses, capping non-EU ownership
- OA
your a genius
dont fade elon musk, he can make it happen
♥ 2
Just bought 1 ryanair stock for 70 bucks, won't sell it to Elon Musk before July 1 no matter what! Sell your YES now, thank me later!
♥ 4- OA
it doesnt work like that bud he only need the mojority(50%)
"We welcome all shareholders on our share register. Obviously, we have an obligation to have a majority, to remain EU owned and controlled. So it would not be possible for Elon Musk, even if he wanted to, to acquire Ryanair. But I would certainly encourage him to invest in Ryanair, I think its one of the best investments out there." - Michael O'Leary in a press conference this morning
♥ 5- IM
Can you delete this comment. Why would you want to stop dumb money from piling into this market??
♥ 13 - SQ
pls help me with tip😢
some retar d is spamming below
♥ 9
Can someone tip me please 1 dollar will not change anything from you, maybe it change my life ,
- TH
go get a job
♥ 6 - LO
Elon will do what he says, he will buy it anyways, people’s opinion doesn’t matter for him
- PA
you know that to buy something the seller must agree with it, right?
♥ 5 
na not with publicly traded companies, cant legally happen thoough as elon is not an EU citizen and to own majority of a european airline he must be
♥ 2- GU
pls buy it
♥ 1 Should've stink bid people are idiots
♥ 1- TH
em
- MR
Ryan Air would be better than Virgin Atlantic
♥ 2 - KO
Why not?
♥ 2 - AP
I need elon to make a tweet i just need a 3.5x and I'm out then I'll wait for it to dip again and I'll be entering risk free
♥ 2 
i love elon posting on X
♥ 2
Calling each other idiot is best way to start M&A.
♥ 6- 64
why is anyone saying yes
♥ 2 
Le Epic Elon Musk will buy Ryanair and sack Woke Michael O’Leary because he’s so rich and wholesome chungus 100. Make sure to buy yes this is going to the moon!!!!!! Epic!!!
♥ 7
don't forget to vote for kamala in 2028!
♥ 1
i just did thanks for advice
- SL
Musk needs the board, the board are Europeans, Europeans hate Musk
♥ 6 
seems like a prudent investment for Musk
♥ 3- MN
please muy buy no buy my no
he will buy it
seems like a prudent investment for Musk
can we have a 10k market yes buy again please, he will announce tomorrow for sure
♥ 2he'll put Ryan in charge of Ryanair just like he put the cocaine back in cocacola retards
♥ 4
Elon Musk bought Twitter on a whim, so why not Ryanair?
♥ 1why buy airline when create new do trick
♥ 1- HI
By June is a gamble for sure. Definitely well pop once his poll ends and he tweets saying he’s going to do it…. But by June, who knows.
♥ 4